Europe’s fires are just the start

www.economist.com · 2026-07-31 · by Long Nguyen ·generic
Wildfires are increasing in frequency and intensity across Europe and globally due to climate change, with smoke-related deaths projected to rise dramatically by 2050. | Leaders

Europe’s fires are just the start

Leaders | Climate change

Europe’s fires are just the start

They are not a new normal. But worse can nonetheless be expected

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A French Civil Security Canadair CL-415 aircraft flies past flames burning a forest outside Cotignac, France on July 23rd 2026

Photograph: Getty Images

Jul 28th 2026|4 min read

From 2006 to 2025 the total area burned by fires in France every year averaged some 15,000 hectares—a bit smaller than Washington, DC. By July 28th, the fire to the west of Bordeaux which started just six days earlier had burned almost three times that. Meanwhile, some 500km to the south, savage fires advanced perilously close to Madrid. More than 300,000 people have been evacuated.

These fires may end up being the worst that Europe sees this summer. But do not bank on it. A series of heatwaves has left lots of places desiccated and flammable—and more hot weather is to come. Last year the European Union saw more than 1m hectares burn; this year could break that record.

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