Circular relationships among AI firms

www.bis.org · 2026-10-01 · by Long Nguyen ·generic
Between 2021 and 2025, 28.7% of artificial intelligence (AI) firms’ investment deals (by deal value) involved a target company that was also an AI firm, while 55.2% of incoming investments in AI firms came from other AI firms.

Circular relationships among AI firms

Circular relationships among AI firms

Jon Frost Rudraksh Kansal Kumar Rishabh

5 Authors

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Key takeaways

  • Between 2021 and 2025, 28.7% of artificial intelligence (AI) firms’ investment deals (by deal value) involved a target company that was also an AI firm, while 55.2% of incoming investments in AI firms came from other AI firms.
  • Of all the AI-to-AI investment deals between 2021 and 2025, 16.1% (by deal count) and 46.4% (by deal value) also involved commercial supply chain relationships between the investor and target firms.
  • Circular investment relationships reflect key economic features such as the need to secure critical inputs and the presence of information asymmetries, yet they entail macroeconomic risks and increase opacity.

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The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.

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Authors

Jon Frost Jon Frost Head of Innovation and the Digital Economy Monetary and Economic Department

Rudraksh Kansal Rudraksh Kansal Financial Market Analyst Monetary and Economic Department, Statistics and Administration

Kumar Rishabh Technical Advisor Monetary and Economic Department, Financial Stability Policy

Vatsala Shreeti Vatsala Shreeti Economist Monetary and Economics Department, Economic Analysis

Leanne Si Ying Zhang Leanne Si Ying Zhang Visiting Economist Monetary and Economic Department, Financial Stability Policy

Additional files

Data behind the graphs

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